Democrats are convinced they’re on the “right side of history.” They’re also delusional as to just how much support they really have, all things considered. Take the “Blue Wave” of 2018 that turned out to be, at best, a trickle.
Hell, Republicans gained ground in the Senate during that so-called “Blue Wave.” Nice one, Dems.
Anyway, Democratic strategies Mary Anne Marsh seems to think that a handful of Republican senators are vulnerable and that they can be pushed to pass gun control.
- Mitch McConnell of Kentucky
- Lindsey Graham of South Carolina
- Thom Tillis of North Carolina
- Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia
- Susan Collins of Maine
- Bill Cassidy of Louisiana
- John Cornyn of Texas
- Tom Cotton of Arkansas
- Steve Daines of Montana
- Joni Ernst of Iowa
- Cory Gardner of Colorado
- Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi
- James Inhofe of Oklahoma
- Martha McSally of Arizona
- David Perdue of Georgia
- James Risch of Idaho
- Mike Rounds of South Dakota
- Ben Sasse of Nebraska
- Dan Sullivan of Alaska
Many of these senators are in tough reelection fights and most have approval ratings under 50 percent. Even Mitch McConnell, with his 25 percent favorability rating in Kentucky, according to the Fox News Poll of July 24, and the only senator more unpopular than Collins, has to be worried. Seven are in particular peril: Tillis, Collins, Cornyn, Ernst, Gardner, McSally and Perdue. Of that group, Collins, Gardner and McSally are the most vulnerable.
Now, as David Perdue is one of my senators, I did a little deeper digging on this one.
There’s been a lot of talk about Georgia supposedly turning blue, which is what Marsh mentions in her piece. However, she’s wrong.
In 2018, Democrats flipped precisely one House seat in Georgia. One. That particular district, a suburb of Atlanta, did indeed become more liberal. However, liberal politics in Georgia have always been heavily around the urban center of Atlanta, with a bit more in other larger cities in the state like Columbus, Albany, Augusta, and Macon.
However, not as much in those other cities as some believed.
While Stacey Abrams got a major push from the Democratic machine, enough so that it created strong turnout among her base, she still lost the election. However, Abrams was benefitting from something I call the Obama Effect. Basically, people are so dedicated to telling themselves they’re not racist that they vote for a minority candidate just to prove it to themselves. If I’m right about this, don’t expect a repeat in 2020. Purdue is probably safe.
However, Marsh doesn’t want him to know that. She wants him, McConnell, and the rest of these senators scared. She wants them to pass gun control and to do so now. I suspect many of the others are secure as well.
Of course, she also keeps mentioning “secure elections,” but I somehow don’t think she’s calling for Voter ID laws.
Anyway, she’s arguing that these lawmakers can be pushed into passing gun control. She even thinks it’s a done deal if McConnell were to bring it to a vote.
McConnell knows that if he brings background checks, an assault-weapons ban, and secure elections to a vote they will pass. Not only will that make him look weak as majority leader, but it could also open the door to more measures that Republicans would support with Democrats. That would threaten his leadership position and the GOP Senate majority.
Sure. And socialism works.
Tell me another one?
Those laws won’t pass because GOP lawmakers know damn good and well that those who would vote for them yet support such measures won’t vote against them because they oppose it, but gun rights advocates will. They know they stand to lose their seats the moment they back gun control. They’ve seen it happen too often to ignore that reality.
A reality people like Marsh are oblivious to.