Why current gun control push won't go anywhere

Why current gun control push won't go anywhere
(Courtesy Jan Rose Kasmir via AP)

The awful events in Uvalde and Buffalo won’t leave our minds anytime soon. Two mass shootings so close together, both with their own awful targeting, are things that will linger for ages to come.


Those are also being used as a rallying cry for gun control activists who are desperate to push an extremist agenda down the throats of the American people.

That includes the President of the United States of America.

However, it’s unlikely we’ll see much of anything happen. Why? Well, this is a decent explanation that lays the groundwork.

While there is consistently a majority in favor of restricting gun access a little bit more than the government currently does, usually that’s a slim majority – though that support tends to spike in the short term after events like the recent mass shootings.

We tend to find even gun owners are in support of restrictionslike background checks for all gun sales, including at gun shows. So that’s one that everyone gets behind. The other one that gun-owning households get behind is they don’t mind law enforcement taking guns away from people who have been legally judged to be unstable or dangerous. Those are two restrictions on which you can get virtual unanimous support from the American public. But agreement on specific elements isn’t everything.

This isn’t something that people are clamoring for, and there are so many other things in the mix that people are much more concerned about right now, like the economy. Also, people are insecure about the federal budget deficit, and health care is still a perennial problem in this country. So those kinds of things top gun control legislation in terms of priorities for the public.

So you can’t just think about majority support for legislation; you have to think about priorities. People in office care what the priorities are. If someone’s not going to vote them out because of an issue, then they’re not going to do it.


Now, I’m not as sure about the validity of the polling cited–many cases it’s unclear if people whether people are supporting existing laws or supporting an expansion of gun control laws–but the rest is pretty spot on.

What support there is for gun control is limited to, at most, a small majority of people, and it’s only slightly more than the nation is currently doing–this is the slippery slope many of us keep mentioning, by the way.

Yet what will doom gun control is that while people may support it on some level, it’s not a driving issue for most of them. They’re much more focused on a number of other issues. While right now, those problems are things like inflation, in the next election cycle they may well be something else.

Gun control just isn’t that high on the list of priorities for most people.

Even if it were, though, what support there is for it is for slight increases in the level of gun control. It’s not for assault weapon bans and bans on 9mm handguns, as Biden has started pushing for.


So the problems for gun control are many and varied. It means that while there will be a lot of huffing and puffing, there aren’t likely to be new regulations.

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