The gun control crowd likes to assert that the public is on their side. They cite polls that illustrate this point and, conveniently, are unfamiliar with polls that don’t. Funny how that works out, isn’t it?
Yet polling doesn’t dictate anything. It illustrates where people stand on issues, so pretending inconvenient polling doesn’t exist doesn’t really accomplish anything.
Nor does the fact that none of them are interested in understanding the flaws in that polling that suggests the support they cite is a lot squishier than they want to believe.
But a couple of recent polls are going to drive the gun control crowd nuts.
Let’s start with just how many Americans say there’s a gun in their house.
More than half of voters in the United States (52%) say they or someone living in their home owns a gun, the highest number recorded by an NBC News national poll since the survey first presented the question in 1999.
“In the last 10 years, we’ve grown [10 points] in gun ownership. That’s a very stunning number,” said Micah Roberts of Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm that conducted the poll for NBC News/The Wall Street Journal.
“By and large, things don’t change that dramatically that quickly when it comes to something as fundamental as whether you own a gun,” Roberts said.
The numbers have been climbing over the years. The share of people owning guns was 42% in February 2013 and 46% in 2019.
And those increases exist across party lines. While you see higher numbers among Republicans (from 57% to 66%), Democrats (from 33% to 47%) and Independents (from 41% to 45%) also saw increases. Yet that 14-point jump for Democrats is downright shocking.
If nearly half of all Democrat households own firearms, then they’re going to know how idiotic a lot of the anti-gun narrative is, including how you can just buy a gun online.
The jump is even more stark when you look at how black voters went from just 24% of households having a gun to 41%.
Gun owners tend to be gun voters, so the more gun-owning households we find, the more likely you’re going to see gun voters in that household. Maybe not everyone in the house will vote that way, mind you, but at least some will. Right now, this poll shows a fairly even split, but I expect that to change as these newer gun owners start to shift in their opinions.
Yet if that were the only recent poll spelling bad news for gun control advocates, that would probably be enough. The problem is that it’s not.
Another poll, this one from Harvard/Harris looking at attitudes on crime and, to an extent, the role of guns in self-defense, is also bad news for the gun control lobby.
A consensus prevailed across party lines when the question shifted to individual views on the necessity of gun ownership for self-defense.
Democrats, Republicans and independents alike demonstrated majority support for the idea that possessing a firearm is a vital means of protection.
54% of Democrats, 77% of Republicans, and 56% of independents asserted the necessity of owning a gun for self-defense.
More than half of Democrats? Seriously?
This is the party that continually pushes for gun control, and more than half of them “asserted the necessity of owning a gun for self-defense.”
Now, this doesn’t imply that these folks are “shall not be infringed” pro-gunners by any extreme. They may well favor some kinds of gun control, particularly measures you and I would never stand for.
However, if they see owning a gun as a necessity for self-defense, then that also makes it clear that there is a line they’re not interested in crossing. While gun control groups claim they don’t want that either, absolutely none of them are willing to actually oppose a gun control law for going too far.
So you’ll pardon me if I’m skeptical of that claim.
They want gun bans. They want to restrict our right to keep and bear arms, and while these polls don’t explicitly say their efforts are doomed in the long term, they do suggest that the public is becoming a lot more pro-gun than your average anti-gunner is comfortable with.
Since this is also a time when we’re seeing the homicide rate drop over the last couple of years, it’s going to be a much harder sell for the gun control crowd.
My heart bleeds for them.